Daria Kasatkina vs Sonay Kartal Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Daria Kasatkina's recent second serve win percentage stands at 37.09%, slightly lower than Sonay Kartal's 40.98% over the past six months.
• When it comes to second serve returns, Kasatkina excels, claiming 53.65% of those points compared to Kartal's 46.44%.
• Regarding first serve returns, Kasatkina marginally edges out Kartal with 35.62%, against Kartal's 33.33%.
• Under pressure, Kartal has displayed superior breakpoint resilience, saving 52.21% compared to Kasatkina's 42.55%.
• Overall match performance in the past year shows Kasatkina with a 50.98% win rate, whereas Kartal boasts a higher rate of 58.82%.
• Their best surface stats show Kasatkina excels on clay (69% win rate), while Kartal's highest success is on indoor hard courts (78%).
• The player level contrast reveals Kasatkina competes mainly on the Main tour (47.37% win rate), and Kartal on the Masters series (56.25% win rate).
• In head-to-head encounters, Kartal leads 1-0, with their only previous meeting resulting in a victory for Kartal.
• Against higher-ranked opponents, Kasatkina has faced tougher competition, with her opponents averaging a rank of 68.88, compared to Kartal's 143.37.
• In deciding set situations, Kasatkina has a slight edge, winning 50% of such sets against Kartal's 47%.

Editorial Prediction (September 27, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match will be an intriguing contest between Daria Kasatkina and Sonay Kartal. Recent stats suggest Kartal has a slight edge in second serve performance and breakpoint resilience. Kasatkina, however, demonstrates her strength in returning second serves, which could be an advantage in this matchup.

While Kasatkina plays at a higher competition level, Kartal's overall performance, especially her recent victory in their head-to-head, positions her as a formidable opponent. Their history and the marginal differences in key metrics suggest a closely fought battle.

Given Sonay Kartal's proven track record against Kasatkina and her better recent form, she is slightly favored to win this encounter. However, both players have demonstrated capabilities that could swing the match either way. Nevertheless, Kartal appears to be the likely winner based on the current trends and past performances.